BLOGSIA.EU.ORG - Bitcoin price prediction has taken center stage again after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points, triggering a sharp repricing of risky assets. As of September 18, 2025, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $117,000, holding steady within a narrow intraday band of $116,000 to $118,000, but the forecasts point to a volatile move of as much as $15,000 in either direction.
Analysts say the key range for Bitcoin price prediction remains between $115,000 and $120,000. A decisive breakout above could open a path toward $125,000 to $130,000, while a breakdown would risk $110,000 to $100,000. The dovish tone from the Fed has provided immediate relief for crypto markets, lifting spot volumes and expanding futures open interest. Institutional demand is once again in focus, with U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs reporting consistent inflows in the days surrounding the Federal Open Market Committee meeting.
The intraday performance has been characterized by higher volumes compared with last week, alongside stronger open interest in Bitcoin futures, indicating leveraged positioning by traders. On-chain flows point to significant withdrawals from centralized exchanges, reducing the available supply and bolstering the bullish bias. These mechanics have pushed the Bitcoin price prediction toward retesting $120,000, with analysts noting that institutional bids between $115,000 and $120,000 have been “considerably supported” by ETF purchases and over-the-counter buys.
A Bitcoin price prediction skewed toward the upside is also reinforced by improved regulatory clarity for ETF listings, making it easier for large funds to gain exposure. With supply tightening on exchanges, momentum traders and leveraged futures positions could amplify the move higher. Should these dynamics continue, the $125,000–$130,000 range could come into play within weeks.
But the bullish case is not without risks. Analysts warn that if Bitcoin breaks below the $115,000 level, profit-taking could accelerate, triggering deleveraging across futures markets. Such a move would likely drag the price back toward the low-$110,000 range, with deeper risks extending to $104,000–$100,000. September seasonality adds another layer of caution, as the month has historically seen negative performance for Bitcoin. A stronger U.S. dollar or a sudden surge in Treasury yields could further undermine sentiment.
“While spot ETF inflows and exchange withdrawals remain supportive, the sustainability of this trend is not guaranteed,” one analyst noted. “If ETF demand slows or if large token holders return supply to exchanges, the price could come under renewed pressure.”
Bitcoin price prediction for the short term now hinges on two clear scenarios. Scenario A anticipates a continuation above $120,000, supported by ETF inflows and shrinking exchange liquidity, paving the way for $125,000–$130,000. Scenario B envisions a breakdown below $115,000, unleashing downside pressure toward $110,000 or even $100,000 if leveraged liquidations spiral. At present, the market remains neutral to optimistic, but the volatility skew is tilted upward, reflecting the dominance of institutional demand and ETF activity.
With Bitcoin at $117,000 today, the stage is set for a defining move. Whether the breakout comes on the upside or downside, the Bitcoin price prediction narrative suggests that traders should brace for a $15,000 swing in the weeks ahead.
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